Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.992360 1.118424 1.255848 1.417015 1.601154 1.805325 2.049340
2025-12-28 0.823638 0.995652 1.198038 1.454717 1.772979 2.156423 2.656087
2026-01-04 0.704307 0.901499 1.148513 1.482876 1.927046 2.501512 3.308355
2026-01-11 0.617285 0.829113 1.108928 1.509427 2.074183 2.851407 4.018090
2026-01-18 0.547414 0.766341 1.069094 1.524021 2.200123 3.183372 4.750237
2026-01-25 0.481586 0.698649 1.010957 1.500568 2.262602 3.426400 5.383032
2026-02-01 0.417970 0.625276 0.933947 1.436072 2.249905 3.547792 5.836742
2026-02-08 0.370926 0.570703 0.877663 1.394332 2.263871 3.707913 6.372178
2026-02-15 0.334005 0.527376 0.833256 1.364711 2.291220 3.889718 6.968104
2026-02-22 0.316697 0.513234 0.833368 1.407783 2.445850 4.308381 8.057922
2026-03-01 0.296203 0.491475 0.818136 1.421758 2.549259 4.646903 9.048005
2026-03-08 0.270624 0.458458 0.780154 1.390326 2.564167 4.820199 9.733813
2026-03-15 0.245040 0.424005 0.737973 1.349675 2.562839 4.974503 10.436307
2026-03-22 0.235724 0.417645 0.745508 1.403854 2.755271 5.546982 12.159091
2026-03-29 0.224607 0.406858 0.743721 1.439685 2.915788 6.079020 13.901122
2026-04-05 0.213726 0.395375 0.739305 1.469511 3.067728 6.616474 15.768807
2026-04-12 0.202268 0.381619 0.728955 1.485603 3.191811 7.110820 17.634672
2026-04-19 0.187876 0.360726 0.702282 1.463666 3.227219 7.403891 19.039826
2026-04-26 0.170906 0.333145 0.659371 1.401285 3.160442 7.440104 19.756299
2026-05-03 0.157663 0.312019 0.627874 1.360821 3.140324 7.589139 20.823600
2026-05-10 0.146694 0.294674 0.602752 1.332055 3.144847 7.801947 22.124999
2026-05-17 0.142628 0.291511 0.607752 1.374033 3.332005 8.526099 25.144251
2026-05-24 0.136535 0.283448 0.601219 1.387657 3.448287 9.077737 27.756804